Climate change in the Arctic North Atlantic region and Impacts on the UK
Start date: April 2023
End date: March 2028
CPOM Principal Investigator: Sea Ice Modelling Danny Feltham is co-lead of WP4 .
Overview
CANARI is a 5 year research project which forms part of the NERC National Capability Multi-Centre Science Programme,designed to bring multiple science centres together in partnership to take on ambitious, integrated and larger-scale research into the environmental challenges facing the UK.
The project takes an ‘all-in-one’ view of the Arctic – North Atlantic climate system, aiming to understand how climate variability and change in this climate system will impact the UK, with a special focus on extreme weather and rapid disruptive change.
Partners
The project is led by the National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), in collaboration with the following centres:
- British Antarctic Survey (BAS)
- British Geological Survey (BGS)
- National Centre for Earth Observation (NCEO)
- National Oceanography Centre (NOC)
- UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (CEH)
- Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling (CPOM)
- The Met Office
CPOM’s role in CANARI is to provide satellite-derived estimates of sea ice thickness, floe size, and sea surface height, and to develop advanced sea ice physics and simulations, with a focus on air to ocean momentum exchange and thermohaline forcing of the Arctic Ocean.
CANARI are currently compiling a Large Ensemble (LE) or Single-Model Initial Condition Large Ensemble (SMILE) of climate model simulations based on the UK Met Office Climate Model (HadGEM3) at N216 atmospheric resolution. These LE’s allow better sampling of extreme events and delineate forced climate change from natural internal variability. Production of the second half of this dataset will take place in 2024.
For updates on CANARI’s progress, visit the project’s website.
