Ground truth at -20°C: A day in the life on the CEMSIE campaign

Ground truth at -20°C: A day in the life on the CEMSIE campaign

“Getting your hands out of your gloves to operate a touchscreen, tighten screws, or peer at snow crystals through a handheld magnifying lens. All while wearing multiple layers and ensuring not to expose your hands for too long, was probably the hardest part of the work” says Alicia Fallows, a CPOM affiliated PhD researcher at UCL who spent ten days at the The Copernicus Expansion Missions Sea Ice Experiment (CEMSIE) campaign in Cambridge Bay, Canada in April 2026.

With temperatures ranging from -5°C to -20°C and colder still with wind chill, dressed for the elements in heavy fieldwork gear, and long days capturing and recording vital data fieldwork can be an exhausting experience. Despite this, Alicia was keen to get back out on the ice every day. As part of a team made up mostly of Early Career researchers, “everyone was enthusiastic, willing to help each other, and was genuinely excited to be there!”

Snow on sea ice in a warming Arctic

The Arctic is warming faster than the global average and this is impacting Arctic sea ice. A 2024 CPOM UCL study found that Arctic sea ice in coastal regions may be thinning up to twice as fast as previously thought.

Satellites offer the only means of observing sea ice at scale, but the accuracy of retrievals depends on how well we understand what they are measuring.

Sea ice, and the snowpack sitting on top of it, remains one of the most challenging components of the cryosphere to characterise accurately because sea ice and snow are both changeable, and this impacts our ability to accurately retrieve sea ice properties from satellite observations.

As snow depth, density, salinity and microstructure all potentially influence microwave scattering signatures, uncertainties remain in satellite retrievals. We need to ensure the methods and assumptions we use to retrieve information about sea ice from space are correct.

The CEMSIE campaign – what it is and why it’s important

The CEMSIE campaign aims to reduce those uncertainties ahead of the launch of the ESA missions CIMR, CRISTAL and ROSE-L, bringing together scientists from a range of institutions across Canada and Europe to collect in-situ measurements to improve the retrieval methods used by the future missions.

Cambridge Bay offers stable, representative first-year sea ice (the ice that forms each winter and melts each summer) in conditions that are accessible for the large, multi-week campaign. Unlike sea ice that drifts with ocean currents, the ice here remains in the same place, allowing for repeated measurements at the same location.

An average day in the CEMSIE camp

Over 6 weeks, teams of researchers including Alicia, collected daily measurements of snowpack and sea ice properties – information that will directly inform instrument development for CIMR, CRISTAL and ROSE-L. Tasks were rotated so everyone got a chance to experience using different technologies.

“One person might manage the scatterometers, turning on each radar, putting on the generators, and initiating the scans via a laptop. Another would take on the main snow pit: a full day’s work in itself, involving a wide array of instruments to measure snow properties.

For example, we took density measurements and assessed the specific surface area of the snow using various instruments. Salinity was measured from bagged snow samples. All data was carefully recorded on a standardised snow pit sheet. Other regular tasks included taking ice cores and ice thickness measurements every few days, and setting up the passive radiometers – which needed to be switched on and configured each morning.”

Overnight temperatures can fall dramatically, possibly producing measurably different radar returns from the snow, so team members could also volunteer to work overnight to capture diurnal variations in the snowpack, keeping the scatterometers running and measuring temperature changes in the pack by digging snowpits.

Once back at camp, after unpacking, cleaning and drying the equipment, and having dinner (made by whoever was on a ‘rest day’) the work was still not over, and the team could find themselves working late into the evening.

“After dinner, there was always a team meeting, which could run until eight or nine in the evening sharing successes, challenges, and planning for the next day. After that, there was usually data to upload, field notes to digitise, and lab measurements to begin before they piled up. Most nights, we wouldn’t be done until ten or eleven. Then it was straight to sleep, and up to do it all again. We did find an evening for a team film night!”

While there, Alicia captured a typical day in the life of an Early Career researcher at CEMSIE in a 90 second video. For best view, open to full screen.

Aside from the daily campaign tasks, Alicia also got the opportunity to go on a full site transect (a circuit of approximately two kilometres around the camp) using additional instruments like the magnaprobe, which you push down into the snow to measure depth, as well as an excursion to an area with dramatic ice ridging. Supported by colleagues, she also got the chance to complete her own experiment supporting her PhD research into a process called flooding, which occurs when seawater infiltrates into the snowpack.

“I dug down to the sea ice surface and artificially created a flooding event – pumping seawater into a channel cut into the ice, effectively creating a small, contained pool. I then dug a series of snow pits at increasing distances from the flood site to track how far the water moved through the snow. We also set up one of the passive microwave instruments beside the site to monitor any changes in the radar return as the water spread. It was a genuinely exciting set of experiments to run!”

What is Copernicus and CRISTAL?

Copernicus is the Earth observation component of the European Union’s Space Programme, led by the European Commission (EC) and implemented in partnership with the European Space Agency (ESA). ESA develops and manages the space element, which is built around the Sentinel satellite missions and provides open-access data to support understanding and mitigation planning of the effects of climate change.

The Copernicus Polar Ice and Snow Topography Altimeter (CRISTAL) mission is due to be launched in 2027, equipped with a dual-frequency Interferometric Radar altimeter for Ice and Snow (IRIS) and a passive microwave radiometer, satellite instruments similar to the in-situ devices used by Alicia and the other researchers. This data can be compared to current ice EO missions, CryoSat-2, Sentinel-3 and ICESat-2 and inform instrument design with CRISTAL.

Alicia’s day-in-the-life film offers a window into what ground truth looks like in practice – very long days, keeping instruments running in sub-zero temperatures, and carefully recording data before the next task begins. For the early career researchers, the campaign delivers on three fronts: rigorous contributions to pre-launch validation for future space missions, invaluable field data to support their own research, and networking with international colleagues in a unique environment.

Most importantly, the campaign will mean more accurate retrievals and increasingly robust assessments of sea ice, and better-informed planning for future ice behaviour in a warming planet.

Find out more about the CEMSIE campaign on the ESA website.

Funding note:

Alicia Fallows is based at UCL in the Department of Earth Sciences, and was supported to attend the CEMSIE fieldwork campaign by Julienne Stroeve and CEMSIE. Her PhD is funded by the London NERC DTP.

The CEMSIE campaign is funded by the European Space Agency SUPFIX-Polar funding call.

With thanks to the Canadian High Arctic Research Station (CHARS) facilities and support.

From equations to ice sheets: how an interest in maths and physics led Dr Inès Otosaka to Antarctica and Greenland

Dr Inès Otosaka is an Assistant Professor at Northumbria University in Newcastle. Her research focuses on using satellite and airborne altimetry data over the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to detect and interpret changes in their elevation, volume, and mass and estimate their contribution to sea level rise.

She’s also had the chance to visit these incredible places, joining fieldwork expeditions in the Arctic and Antarctic.

At school she has no idea that this career in polar science lay ahead of her. It all started with a French Baccalauréat and a talent for maths and physics.

Yesterday, as part of Mars Day 2026, organised by STEM Learning, ESERO-UK, The European Space Agency and the UK Space Agency, she shared her experience of building a career in polar science with young people across the UK.

After her Baccalauréat (the equivalent of British A-Levels) she went on to Engineering School, where her studies broadened to include mechanics and computer science. The interdisciplinary nature of this study, including both maths and engineering, was excellent transferable experience that would prove useful in her career in climate science.

Everyone’s journey in science looks different. Inès’ included an internship in a factory, which gave her hands-on experience of how technical knowledge gets applied in practice, and her subsequent internship placed her in a research lab working on climate data from Argentinian vineyards. By working with real climate datasets like these, she discovered the kind of work she wanted to do.

Inès continued her academic studies, pursuing a Master’s of Science in The Built Environment, during which she studied remote sensing, spatial statistics, and sustainability. She also took on an internship in sea ice detection using satellite data at the KNMI (Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute) which was her first real encounter with the cryosphere (the frozen parts of our planet).

From there, a PhD in Earth Observation followed, and then a CPOM Research Fellowship in land ice earth observation.

Today, Inès leads the IMBIE team, a collaboration of international scientists who have reconciled three decades of satellite measurements to provide the world’s most authoritative estimates of ice sheet mass balance and sea level rise contributions. She also leads on the ESA-funded CryoTipping project which combines satellite observations with ice sheet modelling to detect marine ice sheet instability in Antarctica.

This work helps answer some of the most pressing questions in climate science: how much are the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets contributing to rising sea levels and when might we reach tipping points in the Antarctic? These are questions which affect all of us, now and in the future.
Inès career path included engineering school, a factory floor, and a gradual move towards remote sensing and climate science. This led to her becoming a leading scientist in Earth Observation, teaching other young people with an interest in climate science through her work as an Assistant Professor. It’s a job she’s passionate about – “now I know why studying maths was so important – it’s led me to a job I love!” – she said as part of the presentation.

If you’re good at maths or physics and wondering where it might take you, the answer could be somewhere you haven’t considered yet. Ice sheets, satellites, sea level rise – it’s a long way from the classroom, but the journey can start with the subjects you enjoy at school.

Find out more about STEM UK and Mars Day 26.

The future of the Antarctic Peninsula

Scientists from across the world have come together to predict future scenarios for the Antarctic Peninsula, and the results are startling.

The Antarctic Peninsula is warming faster than the global average and is experiencing more extreme temperature and weather events. Sea ice is in decline, glaciers are melting , and ice shelves, which act as a “safety band” to the glaciers on land, are at risk. Land ice retreat in Antarctica will result in sea level rise and destruction of ecosystems, but what exactly are the best case and worst-case scenarios for the region and the planet?

In this new paper published today (20.02.2026) in Frontiers in Environmental Science, Antarctic scientists from across the globe have come together to review available data to produce three future projections based on carbon emission scenarios.

About the research

Led by Professor Bethan Davies (Newcastle University) with co-authors including CPOM PI of Land Ice/Ice Shelf Earth Observation Professor Alison Banwell (Northumbria University) and CPOM Associate Investigator: Ice Sheet Modelling Professor Tamsin Edwards (KCL), the study brought together data from a range of sources including fresh analysis of Earth Observation data, data from the modelling intercomparison projects CMIP6 and ISMIP6 (Eyring et al., 2016; Seroussi et al., 2020), as well as published research to produce projections for three different future emission scenarios and their impact on 8 environmental aspects of the Antarctic Peninsula including marine and terrestrial ecosystems, land ice, sea ice, ice shelves, the Southern Ocean, the atmosphere, and extreme weather events.

What do the projections say?

Highest emission scenario: 4 .4 °C global temperature rise compared to preindustrial levels by 2100.

Temperature rises at this level will result in an increased number of days when the air temperature is above 0 °C which will result in significant ocean warming and more intense extreme weather events such as ocean heat waves and atmospheric rivers.

The Peninsula will see increased melt on both beneath and on the surfaces of ice shelves, with surface melting reducing the snow’s ability to absorb meltwater, allowing more meltwater ponding.

The Larsen C and Wilkins ice shelves are likely to collapse by 2100 CE under this scenario. Collapse of George VI Ice Shelf by 2300 would substantially contribute to sea level rise, as the land ice it currently holds back would accelerate into the ocean.

Under this very high emissions scenario, the Antarctic Peninsula could contribute just under 1 centimetre to global sea-level rise by 2100, rising to more than 11 centimetres by 2300.

Lower emissions scenario: 1.8 °C global temperature rise compared to preindustrial levels by 2100.
Under this scenario the team discuss how the Antarctic Peninsula’s sea ice remains similar to present and land ice is predicted to undergo only minor grounding line recession and thinning.

Changes in sea surface temperatures and the change from snow to rain will however impact marine and terrestrial ecosystems. One example will be the reduction or migration of krill, a key food source for whales and penguins.

Under a low emissions scenario, contributions from the Antarctic Peninsula remain limited, reaching just under 1 centimetre by 2100 and around 2 centimetres by 2300 – far lower than under a high emissions pathway.

Conclusion

The report is clear. Limiting global temperature rise to below 2 °C, ideally as close as possible to 1.5 °C, and governing the region effectively, will improve outcomes for the Antarctic Peninsula with only modest changes being seen there. Higher emission scenarios will result in severe changes which will be irreversible during human timescales, resulting in sea level rise and ecosystem destruction.

Professor Alison Banwell (Northumbria University), who led the ice shelves section of this paper said:

“Antarctic ice shelves act as critical buffers against sea-level rise, yet their future remains highly uncertain. They can appear stable for decades before collapsing rapidly once key structural or climatic thresholds are crossed, making these events difficult to capture in models.”

“What this study shows is that the future of the Antarctic Peninsula – including its ice shelves – depends strongly on the emissions pathway we follow. Under lower emissions, many of these systems remain stressed but largely intact; under higher emissions, we cross thresholds that lead to irreversible change.”

“The Antarctic Peninsula is already responding to climate change, but our study shows that decisions made in the coming decades will be crucial in terms of shaping its ice, ecosystems, and contribution to sea-level rise for centuries to come.”

What is CMIP6 and IMSIP6

CMIP (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) is a framework that coordinates climate modelling efforts worldwide, bringing together modelling groups to run standardized climate simulations that can be compared and analysed collectively. ISMIP is the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP, which is a framework bringing together international ice sheet models and coupled ice sheet-climate models to fully explore the sea level rise contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. CPOM incorporates their BISICLES model into the ISMIP framework of intercomparisons, and also supported analysis of the ISMIP6 model ensembles providing robust projections of potential sea level rise for the IPCC’s 6th Assessment Report, published in 2021.

Paper information

Paper title – The Antarctic Peninsula under present day climate and future low, medium-high and very high emissions scenarios

Published in: Frontiers in Environmental Science

Lead author Bethan J. Davies (Newcastle University)
Co-authors – Angus Atkinson (Plymouth Marine Laboratory), Alison F. Banwell (University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, Northumbria University, UK Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling), Mark Brandon (Open University), Thomas Caton Harrison (BAS), Peter Convey (British Antarctic Survey, University of Johannesburg/Millennium Institute, Biodiversity of Antarctic and Sub-Antarctic Ecosystems (BASE)/University of Birmingham), Jan De Rydt (Northumbria University), Klaus Dodds (WWF-UK/ Royal Holloway University of London/Middlesex University), Rod Downie (WWF-UK) Tamsin L. Edwards (KCL), Ella Gilbert (BAS), Bryn Hubbard (Aberystwyth University), Kevin A. Hughes (BAS), Gareth J. Marshall (BAS), Andrew Orr (BAS), Joeri Rogelj (Imperial College London/International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg), Hélène Seroussi (Dartmouth College), Martin Siegert (University of Exeter) Julienne Stroeve (University of Manitoba/Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI), University College London), and Jane Rumble (Polar Regions Department, Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office).

Citation:

Davies BJ, Atkinson A, Banwell AF, Brandon M, Caton Harrison T, Convey P, De Rydt J, Dodds K, Downie R, Edwards TL, Gilbert E, Hubbard B, Hughes KA, Marshall GJ, Orr A, Rogelj J, Seroussi H, Siegert M, Stroeve J and Rumble J (2026) The Antarctic Peninsula under present day climate and future low, medium-high and very high emissions scenarios. Front. Environ. Sci. 13:1730203. doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1730203

News Story Image Credit: Professor Alison Banwell (Northumbria University)

Using Creativity to Connect People with Space-Based Climate Science

Earth is losing more than a trillion tonnes of ice each year – enough to create an ice cube more than 10km high.

How do we know this?

Satellites like ESA’s CryoSat-2 mission collect crucial climate data from hundreds of miles above Earth.

Once of the challenges we face is how do we make data from space feel real for people on the ground.

Climate change and the research behind it can often feel distant and abstract, but the impacts are immediate and global.

That’s why researchers, space agencies and climate change organisations are getting creative, transforming complex information into experiences that resonate with people outside the scientific community and inspire action from Governments and government agencies.

This International Day of Climate Action, we’re sharing some of the ways that creativity has been used to share environmental science stories in 2025.

Visual storytelling from space

ESA, with Planetary Visions, have partnered to create videos that visualise the research carried out by the UK Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling and other research groups.

Here are some examples:

This animation, featuring research led by CPOM PhD Researcher Nitin Ravinder, shows the thinning of the Greenland ice sheet between 2010 and 2023.

Video Credit: ESA / Planetary Visions / CPOM

And this animation shows something surprising discovered by CPOM Researchers from Lancaster University this year – a subglacial flood bursting through the ice sheet.

Video Credit: ESA/CPOM/Planetary Visions

Stepping inside a year’s worth of ice loss: The Giant Ice Cube

How much ice is a trillion tonnes? CPOM created a 3D, explorable model to help answer this question.

Dr Tom Slater’s research has been transformed into an interactive experience that has travelled across the country, letting school children ‘step into’ a year’s worth of ice loss.

Of those surveyed at our outreach events 85% said they learned something new and 56% said they would consider becoming polar scientists.

Watch this video about why science outreach work is inspiring the next generation of environmental scientists.

Video: CPOM

Using poetry and art to bring science to life

ESA collaborated with artist Jamie Perera to create a multi-sensory installation that transforms satellite data into art. Using poetry penned by ESA’s Peter Bickerton and sonification (turning data into sound) the installation at this year’s Living Planet Symposium shares the science behind the EarthCARE Earth Explorer satellite mission, which gathers data on clouds and aerosols.

Video: ESA

Hear more from Peter Bickerton on how ESA uses creativity to share their science and why this is important

In this short interview, Peter Bickerton, talks about how he uses creativity to tap into people’s imaginations while sharing crucial climate and environmental data derived from earth explorer satellites.

Video credit: CPOM

Bonus: We also have a video of Peter’s 15-year anniversary poem about one of our favourite satellites CryoSat-2!

Video credit: CPOM

Behind the scenes on scientific fieldwork

Some of the most compelling climate science happens in the world’s most remote places where most people will never visit.

That’s why CPOM and programmes like BIOPOLE, led by the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) bring the Arctic and Antarctic to audiences through video content.

In this video filmed aboard RSS Sir David Attenborough, viewers get to see the science in action.

National Capability science like this spans decades of monitoring and measuring, but these glimpses behind the scenes remind us that climate data comes from real people doing remarkable work in extreme conditions.

Video: CPOM

A castle becomes a canvas

This November, CPOM PhD researcher Diego Moral Pombo in partnership with photographer and media specialist James Hooton, will transform Lancaster Castle into a stunning polar science showcase.

Their light installation projected onto Lancaster Castle’s historic John O’Gaunt Gate will bring ice sheets and glaciers to life, visualizing the hidden dynamics happening deep beneath the ice.

By placing climate science in a public place, the installation will invite visitors to the Light Up Lancaster festival to consider how the Earth’s ice sheets are changing, and why.

From research to action

The satellite data shows that Earth’s ice is melting, but data alone rarely inspires action. By transforming complex satellite observations into giant ice cubes, poetry, art installations, and visual stories help people understand that climate change is happening now, is measurable from space, and is affecting communities worldwide.

This International Day of Climate Action, we’re reminded that inspiring climate action requires both science and imaginative communication.

When the science community makes space-based climate data tangible, accessible and engaging, we empower everyone, from schoolchildren to policymakers to understand the challenge, and be part of the solution.

Spotlight on Space: Inspiring the next generation of polar scientists with CPOM

Video: CPOM

On Saturday 4 October 2025, the UK Centre for Polar Observation (CPOM) joined teams from other companies, universities and science centres at the International Centre for Life, in Newcastle upon Tyne, for their ‘Spotlight on…’ Day.

This year the focus was ‘Space’, one of our favourite topics.

Introducing polar science to young people

During the day we got the chance to meet more than 100 children and their families, all fascinated with space science and wanting to learn more. We had an array of activities ready for them, including polar science inspired puzzles and colouring activities to introduce them to the sort of animals that live in the Arctic and Antarctica. You can find these, and links to other educational resources, on this webpage.

We also introduced them to ESA’s CryoSat-2 and ESA’s ‘Paxi’ mascot, explaining how we use satellites like CryoSat-2 and NASA’s ICESat-2 to monitor the polar regions from space to see what’s happening there. We took along our ice cube tent, an incarnation of the giant ESA ice cube you can see in this video, to help the children understand how much of the ice is melting each year.

About the cube

The cube is a scale model of how much ice is lost on Earth every year if you put it all in one giant ice cube. In real life this cube of ice would be 10 cubic km in size and 1 trillion tonnes in weight! This version of the cube is only 1 cubic meter, so children can interact with it, climbing inside to meet some of the polar animals. We explained to them that the ‘real’ ice cube would be a billion times bigger than our model. The sides of the cube show exactly where the ice is melting and the volume in gigatonnes.

About the science behind the cube

CPOM is a lead partner on ESA’s Antarctic CCI (Climate Change Initiative) project which develops methods for producing long-term and reliable climate data records of Antarctica from satellite observations. CPOM also provides scientific leadership for the Ice Sheet Mass Balance Inter-comparison Exercise (IMBIE), a community effort to reconcile satellite estimates of sea level contribution due to ice loss from the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets. You can read more about these, and other CPOM projects, on our Projects page.

The importance of sharing our science

As Ben Rutherford-Orrock, Contemporary Science Manager, mentions in our case study video:

“Science is all about asking questions and trying to work out the answers. That could be in solving some of the biggest problems we have in the world. Some of these questions are going to take time. If we are looking at how to answer some of these questions we are going to need the next generation of scientists, technologists, engineers and maths professionals. By making science accessible we can encourage young people to think about science as a potential career for the future.”

CPOM Director for Knowledge Exchange Dr Sammie Buzzard (Northumbria University) continues:

“It’s really important for everyone to know about the science we do here at CPOM because it has implications for the whole planet. We are looking at how our polar regions are changing and where the ice is melting. This can have implications for sea level rise which is going to affect everywhere with a coast and beyond.”

This year we have met around 500 children through outreach events like this.

Of those surveyed at all of these events in 2025:

85% reported learning something new about polar science.

56% said they would consider becoming a polar scientist in the future.

We look forward to continuing to inspire the next generation of polar scientists in 2026 and beyond.

NEW VIDEO: Celebrating International Women’s Day 2025

In 2024, we were very lucky to be able to catch up with women working in the field of Earth observation and modelling from across the world at the ESA/NASA Cryo2ice conference in Iceland.

Ahead of International Women’s Day 2025 coming up this Saturday, we gathered some of the perspectives shared with us on the importance of studying and understanding the Earth, what it’s like working in this area of science and why it’s important to share scientific understanding with the world- as well as encouraging words for women and girls thinking of pursuing a career in science.as well as encouraging words for women and girls thinking of pursuing a career in science.

Thank you to our interviewees for taking part in this video: CPOM Principal Investigator: Sea Ice Earth Observation, Rosemary Willatt (UCL), Anny Cazenave (LEGOS), CPOM Director for Knowledge Exchange, Sammie Buzzard (Northumbria University), Liza Wilson (University of Iceland/Fulbright Commission Iceland), Rachel Tilling (NASA), Bryony Freer (Scripps Institute of Oceanography) and Helen Fricker (Scripps Institute of Oceanography).

A special thanks must also go to the ESA and NASA Cryo2ice team, who facilitated many of the interviews included in this video.

CPOM Iceland Fieldwork Adventure

In September 2024 a team of CPOM PhD Researchers and staff used drones to study proglacial lakes in Iceland.

While there, they captured their work on camera so we can experience it too.

You can also read about this campaign in more detail on the European Space Agency (ESA) Blog.

New £8.4M investment continues support for long-term polar science, co-led by the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) and UK’s Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling (CPOM)

£8.4M has been awarded to the British Antarctic Survey and the Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling to deliver the next 5 years of their long-term polar science activities. The UK Polar Research Expertise for Science and Society (PRESCIENT) programme provides UK national capability (science, such as ongoing datasets and models, which underpins wider scientific research) to understand the impacts of environmental stressors, such as rising global temperatures on polar marine ecosystems. PRESCIENT will also measure and predict polar ice sheet contributions to global sea level rise and extend and improve measurements of changes to polar sea ice.

Announced today the funding is part of £101 million investment by the Natural Environment Research Council, part of UK Research and Innovation, in the UK’s network of leading environmental science research centres to support large-scale environmental observations, modelling and analysis, and research capabilities through innovations in platforms, sensors and data science. These data are crucial for managing natural resources, biodiversity, human health and building our understanding of and resilience to environmental hazards and climate change. It underpins science across the UK’s environmental research sector and supports critical scientific advice to government.

PRESCIENT will also aid the BAS transition to low carbon science delivery, by progressing delivery of airborne science using remotely piloted autonomous systems (RPAS), while delivering independent scientific advice and support to a range of stakeholders in government, business, and wider society, ensuring that our scientific activities and expertise is available to support solutions.

National capability is research funding which, unlike shorter term projects, can span decades and provides ongoing support for large-scale, complex scientific projects of national significance, informing strategic needs and decision-making of the country. Using techniques such as satellite altimetry to study ice motion and the polar oceans, CPOM incorporate the results into models used across the polar research community. CPOM’s data sets and models have been developed and maintained for almost a quarter of a century, and the long-term maintenance of this capability helps provide robust understanding and insights of the cryosphere.

CPOM also contribute to a range of interdisciplinary multi-centre National Capability research projects including CANARI, BIOPOLE, and TerraFIRMA, which have been running since 2022, offering satellite derived estimates of aspects of the cryosphere (such as ice thickness, floe size and sea height), as well as developing advanced simulations. The longevity of our datasets, and the accuracy of our models mean we have a broader view of past and possible future changes. By contributing to projects such as the previous multi-centre National Capability project UKESM (UK Earth System Model), integrating ice sheet model and advanced sea ice physics into the system, we can produce robust projections of ice sheet instability and Arctic sea ice loss, thereby informing sea level rise predictions. Our PRESCIENT programme with BAS continues this work into 2029.

This funding has been awarded from NERC’s National Capability Single Centre Science initiative, one of the UK’s largest environmental science investment programmes.

Read more on the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) website.

New machine learning tool maps Arctic ice faster

New publication in Nature Communications introduces GPSat, a tool that helps process constantly changing satellite data, more quickly and efficiently than older methods. This tool can help scientists better monitor changes in sea ice over time and help improve predictions for sea-level changes.

GPSat can produce detailed maps of Arctic sea ice, filling in any gaps in the satellite data and can produce data more than 500 times faster than older methods while maintaining accuracy (demonstrating less than 4 mm difference on the derived freeboards on average).

The paper, authored by William Gregory (Princeton) and involving CPOM co-authors Isobel Lawrence (ESA), Carmen Nab (UCL) and Michel Tsamados (UCL), was published on 28 August 2024 in Nature Communications.

Author information:
Gregory, W., MacEachern, R., Takao, S. et al. “Scalable interpolation of satellite altimetry data with probabilistic machine learning”. Nat Commun 15, 7453 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-51900-x

CPOM’s Dr Ines Otosaka gives evidence to the Environmental Audit Sub-Committee on Polar Research

CPOM co-Director Dr Ins Otosaka (Northumbria University) gave evidence yesterday to the Environmental Audit Sub-Committee on Polar Research as part of The UK and Antarctic Environment Enquiry.

The meeting, which took place at the House of Commons, also included evidence from scientists and Directors from the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) and the National Environment Research Council (NERC) as well as Durham University.

The Inquiry is exploring the effects of climate change in Antarctica and how UK science can play a role in understanding this change and protect the region. It also considers what the UK Government can do to meet their obligations under the Antarctic Treaty.

The Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling investigates processes in the earth’s cryosphere, including in Antarctica, using satellite observation data and numerical modelling. Through this CPOM aims to understand how Antarctica, and other aspects of the cryosphere, are changing and the potential impact of these changes on the global climate.

Dr Ins Otosaka is a lecturer at Northumbria University and her research focuses on using satellite and airborne altimetry data of the Antarctic and Greenland icesheets to detect and interpret changes and estimate their contribution to sea level rise.

You can watch the full hearing on Parliament TV.